Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.648956e-05 0.000032 0.000037 0.000043 0.000050 0.000058 0.000067
2025-04-20 1.926148e-05 0.000026 0.000033 0.000042 0.000052 0.000064 0.000079
2025-04-27 1.518682e-05 0.000022 0.000031 0.000042 0.000055 0.000071 0.000092
2025-05-04 1.235572e-05 0.000020 0.000029 0.000042 0.000058 0.000078 0.000103
2025-05-11 1.099403e-05 0.000019 0.000029 0.000044 0.000063 0.000087 0.000119
2025-05-18 9.183154e-06 0.000017 0.000028 0.000044 0.000066 0.000093 0.000130
2025-05-25 7.125050e-06 0.000014 0.000025 0.000042 0.000065 0.000095 0.000136
2025-06-01 5.713387e-06 0.000013 0.000023 0.000040 0.000065 0.000098 0.000143
2025-06-08 4.739963e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000040 0.000066 0.000102 0.000152
2025-06-15 3.935187e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000040 0.000067 0.000106 0.000161
2025-06-22 3.169634e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000039 0.000068 0.000109 0.000168
2025-06-29 2.468715e-06 0.000008 0.000018 0.000037 0.000067 0.000110 0.000173
2025-07-06 1.682801e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000035 0.000065 0.000110 0.000177
2025-07-13 1.196214e-06 0.000005 0.000015 0.000033 0.000065 0.000112 0.000184
2025-07-20 9.139551e-07 0.000005 0.000014 0.000033 0.000067 0.000117 0.000195
2025-07-27 7.022242e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000033 0.000068 0.000123 0.000207
2025-08-03 6.297593e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000035 0.000073 0.000133 0.000226
2025-08-10 4.760267e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000035 0.000075 0.000138 0.000238
2025-08-17 2.932512e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000033 0.000074 0.000138 0.000243
2025-08-24 1.870935e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000032 0.000073 0.000141 0.000250
2025-08-31 1.252338e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000032 0.000074 0.000145 0.000260
2025-09-07 8.080451e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000032 0.000075 0.000149 0.000270
2025-09-14 4.523744e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000031 0.000075 0.000151 0.000278